Replace the guessed transcode ceiling (CPU->1080, GPU->2160) with a measured
one. HW encoders still return 2160 instantly. A software-only host runs a
bounded encode benchmark — 3s testsrc2 through the real libx264 superfast
settings at 1080/720/480, top-down — and reports the rung it sustains at
>=1.5x realtime (margin for real decode + busier content).
Fixes risk 2: a weak NAS/old CPU that is ffmpeg-capable but can't keep up
with a 1080p software encode no longer advertises a 1080 ceiling, so
decideStreamPlan routes oversized sources to an external player instead of a
stuttering transcode. Floors at 480; each probe is timeout-bounded so a
wedged ffmpeg can't stall daemon startup.